Market dashboard
Data through 2026-10-16. Merges the S&P 500 screen, the dip research and the breadth/conviction gauge. Full detail in the two linked reports below.
Conviction: 29/100, Cautious
VIX regime: Rising fear. VIX is climbing more than 15% above its 20-day average. Long-side scores are cut 20% until it settles.
- Breadth (%>50d / %>200d)
- 50
- VIX regime
- 35
- Share of stocks with a live long setup
- 0
- VIX
- 19.99
- Above 50-day / 200-day
- 46% / 55%
- New 52-week highs / lows
- 9 / 1
- McClellan Oscillator
- +28
- Zweig breadth thrust
- No
- High-yield credit spread
- 3.23+0.53 pts / 20d
Coming up this week
Key releases, Fed decisions, and earnings from $100B+ names or your holdings over the next 7 days. Full list on the calendar.
| Thu Oct 2208:30 ET | Initial Jobless Claims | Jobs | - | 199K |
| Tue Oct 20 | GEGE Aerospace | Before open | $324B | $2.02 |
| Tue Oct 20 | NFLXNetflix | After close | $302B | $0.82 |
| Tue Oct 20 | RTXRTX Corporation | Before open | $252B | $1.78 |
| Tue Oct 20 | ISRGIntuitive Surgical | After close | $151B | $2.13 |
| Tue Oct 20 | CBChubb Limited | After close | $136B | $6.53 |
| Tue Oct 20 | COFCapital One | After close | $122B | $5.45 |
| Wed Oct 21 | METAMeta Platforms | After close | $1,877B | $6.67 |
| Wed Oct 21 | TSLATesla, Inc. | After close | $1,431B | $0.21 |
| Wed Oct 21 | LRCXLam Research | After close | $347B | $2.17 |
| Wed Oct 21 | PMPhilip Morris International | Before open | $312B | $2.30 |
| Wed Oct 21 | TMOThermo Fisher Scientific | Before open | $258B | $6.40 |
| Wed Oct 21 | TXNTexas Instruments | After close | $255B | $2.39 |
| Wed Oct 21 | IBMIBM | After close | $221B | $2.87 |
| Wed Oct 21 | ABTAbbott Laboratories | Before open | $181B | $1.42 |
| Wed Oct 21 | NEENextEra Energy | Before open | $165B | $1.19 |
| Wed Oct 21 | DHRDanaher Corporation | Before open | $163B | $1.92 |
| Wed Oct 21 | TAT&T | Before open | $161B | $0.61 |
| Wed Oct 21 | CMECME Group | Before open | $104B | $2.98 |
| Thu Oct 22 | PGProcter & Gamble | Before open | $364B | $1.89 |
| Thu Oct 22 | UNPUnion Pacific Corporation | Before open | $170B | $3.47 |
| Thu Oct 22 | WDCWestern Digital | After close | $136B | $3.97 |
| Thu Oct 22 | VLOValero Energy | Before open | $132B | $21.23 |
| Thu Oct 22 | LMTLockheed Martin | Before open | $121B | $7.48 |
| Thu Oct 22 | NEMNewmont | After close | $118B | $1.96 |
| Thu Oct 22 | BEBloom Energy | After close | $70B | $0.56 |
Sector relative strength
| Communication Services | -5.2% | -6.4% |
| Information Technology | -2.6% | +4.3% |
| Real Estate | -1.6% | -10.1% |
| Materials | -1.5% | -1.5% |
| Financials | -1.2% | -5.4% |
| Industrials | -0.1% | -7.0% |
Top long setups
From the S&P 500 screen -- full table there.
| GOOGLAlphabet Inc. (Class A)Earnings Wed Oct 28 | 54 | SMA200 | Up |
| DDominion EnergyEarnings Fri Oct 30 | 53 | SMA200 | Up |
| EMEEmcorEarnings Thu Oct 29 | 47 | BB lower | Down |
| FASTFastenal | 45 | SMA50 | Up |
| CINFCincinnati FinancialEarnings Mon Oct 26 | 43 | SMA100 | Up |
| FCXFreeport-McMoRanEarnings Tue Oct 27 | 43 | SMA100 | Up |
| KLACKLA Corporation | 42 | BB lower | Mixed |
| GOOGAlphabet Inc. (Class C)Earnings Wed Oct 28 | 42 | SMA200 | Mixed |
Consistent dip-bouncers with a live signal
From dip research -- sizing, confidence intervals and full detail there.
Nothing meets the criteria today.
Portfolio exposure by factor / sector group
| Mega-cap platforms (AMZN, GOOGL, META, MSFT) | 36% | GOOGL, META, AMZN, MSFT |
| Index ETFs (SPY, VOO, QQQ) | 27% | SPY, VOO, QQQ |
| Semiconductors and memory (NVDA, MU) | 18% | MU, NVDA |
| Inverse ETFs (SDS) | 9% | SDS |
| Power and clean energy (BE) | 9% | BE |
Track record
How past picks actually did, bought at the next open and sold 10 sessions later. Hit rate: share of long setups that beat SPY, share of fade setups that lagged it, and share of dip trades that made money. This is the live check on the backtests, and it needs months of picks before it means much.
| Screen: long setups | 240 | 248 | -0.04% | -0.80% | 46% |
| Screen: fade setups | 250 | 250 | +0.24% | -0.52% | 52% |